Tech Stock Crash Could Get Worse But Microsoft, Nvidia And More Are Worth Buying Now, Bank Of America Says


Finding strong investment opportunities can be stressful for many investors, leading some to move to safer investments, whether those be blue-chip stocks or fixed-income securities. Investors who can handle volatility in their portfolio might consider investing in well-established tech companies during the downturn, hoping they’ll recover as the economy improves. Some may choose to move to safer investments, while others will look for opportunities to buy strong businesses at bargain prices. Buckland’s team expects global stocks overall to provide an 18% return for investors in 2023, but the road will be bumpy. Next year will likely be “a volatile ride” for investors, according to the Citi analysts.


Investors looking for the culprit can quite reasonably point to technology stocks as the source of their pain. Business Of Sports If the only thing you know about sports is who wins and who loses, you are missing the highest stakes action of all. The business owners that power this multibillion dollar industry are changing, and a new era of the business of sports is underway. From media and technology to finance and real estate, leagues and teams across the globe have matured into far more than just back page entertainment. And the decisions they make have huge consequences, not just for the bottom line, but for communities, cities, even entire countries. Netflix, Facebook parent Meta, and Twitter have also seen bigger hits to their share prices in this latest round of sell-offs than what occurred in the early days of COVID.

Tech, Other Growth Stocks Retreat

The key here is to make sure that they really are offering enough reward for the risk. But I cannot wrap myself around the valuation, even here, as growth has slowed down rapidly and the gross margins are negligible. These are all names which at one point traded up to the moon but have crashed hard. If they were previously high risk/low reward, then they are now high risk/high reward.

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Intel, struggling to make money, predicted second-quarter adjusted losses of 4 cents per share, worse than the 1 cent per share profit that analysts had estimated according to Refinitiv data. Even after sinking 33% this year, Tesla stock remains too expensive to earn a buy recommendation , while online marketplace eBay, down 17% this year, lacks the profitability potential after seeing earnings slump 9% quarter over quarter. And eBay, but some tech stocks are worth buying, Bank of America told clients Tuesday. That performance, just months ago, suggests that the primary problem right now is the economy — not any failure on the company’s part. This further suggests that once the economy rebounds, Nvidia stock will recover and should go on to reach new heights.

As the U.S. and the global economy rebounds in 2021 and more people get vaccinated against the coronavirus, cyclical stocks seemed to offer good value compared to tech stocks. Nvidia and MercadoLibre are currently selling for 14 times and 3 times next year’s sales, respectively, when a reasonable price-to-sales ratio is generally between 1 and 2. That said, investors tend to award a premium valuation to stocks with a strong history of performance and significant future prospects, and both Nvidia and MercadoLibre fit the bill. “We expect the broader markets to move back near record highs at some point in 2023, but it won’t likely be because of Big Tech,” George Ball told Fortune on Tuesday. “We instead believe smaller technology stocks will likely lead the market.”

The Rout in Big Tech Has Just Begun, Says Bernstein Advisors’ Suzuki

Historically, stocks fare poorly during recessions, seeing layoffs and slowing growth as investors flock to more stable investments. “I’m not saying today’s tech stocks that are getting killed are in for a similar extended winter,” he continues. “But growth investors also shouldn’t assume all of these stocks that are down 50-80% are going to be back at new highs in a hurry.” Chairman Axel Lehmann on Monday, who told CNBC that investors should retain a long-term perspective despite the temporary “shake-out” of tech stocks, as many companies within the sector are still “solid and sound.”

The idea is to treat this list as a basket-based approach to buying the crash. Reuters, the news and media division of Thomson Reuters, is the world’s largest multimedia news provider, reaching billions of people worldwide every day. Reuters provides business, financial, national and international news to professionals via desktop terminals, the world’s media organizations, industry events and directly to consumers. The likelihood that the Nasdaq will suffer a second-consecutive down year is extremely remote. The tech-centric index has only suffered back-to-back declines twice going all the way back to its debut more than 50 years ago. The data further suggests that the Nasdaq could rebound sharply over the coming year, having returned 34%, on average, in the first positive year following a decline.

Tom Lauricella does not own shares in any of the securities mentioned above. Download today for access to AI-powered investment strategies. One thing to consider is that tech isn’t a monolithic entity. It includes ecommerce, cybersecurity, social media and dozens of other industries.

2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession – The Motley Fool Canada

2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession.

Posted: Sat, 22 Apr 2023 14:30:00 GMT [source]

Starting last spring, however, accelerating economic initial public offering 3 and the threat of rising interest rates spurred a stock-market rotation away from growth stocks, like those in tech, to cyclical and value-leaning slices of the market. That rotation came to a head last month, when stocks posted their worst start to a year since the Great Recession. The Nasdaq is down about 17% from an all-time high set in November, while the S&P is down only 8%. Investors bought tech stocks due to their growth potential and the increasing pace of digitization, which was further amplified by the COVID-19 pandemic. Add the flood of easy and cheap money and there was too much money chasing U.S. tech stocks. The Bank of America Global Fund Manager survey cited long U.S. tech and growth stocks as the most crowded trade for most of 2020.

When tech stocks will recover

Meanwhile, fast-growing companies like tech stocks are usually valued on earnings many years, or even decades into the future. “When the discount rate rises on long duration investments, what happens is you’re going to get whacked,” Dann says. Yet overall, that pattern holds true for both the broader tech sector and communication services stocks. The tech stock index is still up 72% over the last three years, and communications has gained 21%.


That inherent characteristic lends itself to high gross margins and over time, high operating margins. After the tech crash, it makes sense to invest in a large quantity of names. Tech stocks have crashed, but Wall Street should eventually remember why the love affair began in the first place.

What it means for investors

Major coins, like Bitcoin and Ether, lost 60% of their value. Coinbase, the only major crypto company on the NASDAQ, saw shares decline by 86%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index closed Monday’s trading down more than 26% year-to-date, and the Dow Jones U.S. tech sector has also shed more than 26%. By the end of next year, Buckland’s team expects that “investor attention will increasingly switch to EPS risks,” referring to earnings per share and company profits. So they’re in a correction but not a crash like many of the other growth names. Predicting what will happen to the stock market in the short run is always difficult but the path of individual stocks is even harder.

Will Bank Stocks Recover In 2023? Be Patient And A Bit Nervous – Seeking Alpha

Will Bank Stocks Recover In 2023? Be Patient And A Bit Nervous.

Posted: Fri, 31 Mar 2023 07:00:00 GMT [source]

The company expanded its operating margin by 500 basis points to 11%, which sent more profits to the bottom line. This resulted in record quarterly operating income of $296 million. Your investing journey is unique, and so are your investment goals and risk tolerance levels.

Strong Earnings Lift Stocks as Bank Concerns Loom: Markets Wrap

Understanding the collapse of tech stocks means going back to the pandemic bear market and recession of 2020. When global economies went into lockdown and stocks spiraled into a free fall, the hunt was on among investors for companies that would best weather the storm. offers advanced investment strategies that combine human ingenuity with AI technology. Our investment strategies, which we call “Investment Kits,” help investors manage risk and maximize returns by utilizing AI to identify trends and predict changes in the market.

Asia markets largely higher as new Bank of Japan chief chairs first policy meeting – CNBC

Asia markets largely higher as new Bank of Japan chief chairs first policy meeting.

Posted: Thu, 27 Apr 2023 07:50:00 GMT [source]

This bodes well for the technology stocks that make up the index. That said, I think there are good buying opportunities among individual stocks in the tech sector, and investors just need to be very selective and patient to invest here. I think some companies like Rivian and WeWork that in my humble opinion weren’t really worth the price of admission to start with. I’m not really sure that that’s going to be a big boom for investors. But I think that in a general sense when I think of drawing a circle around all the stocks that I see, the most promising, even healthcare stocks like Teladoc that are leveraging tech in the world of healthcare. You look at all of the trends that are continuing to drive companies, that are continuing to drive the stock market, look at what’s happening in the world.

But this year, with most COVID-era restrictions in the U.S. lifted and the return of pre-pandemic activities like travel, tech stocks have taken a huge tumble. A murky economic outlook and higher interest rates exacerbated an already bad year for tech stocks, contributing to a massive $1.3 trillion loss in their value in March. Things haven’t gotten much better since then, with last month’s higher-than-expected inflation report leading to $500 billion in lost value for the six largest U.S. tech companies. It sparked the worst two-week stretch for the tech-heavy Nasdaq—down 23% from a year ago—since the pandemic’s early days. The last category houses the “moonshots.” These are the names with elevated risk profiles and ultra-dreamy bullish scenarios.

With the likelihood of a recession in the U.S. growing, a severe enough economic downturn could hit tech stocks, too. But as bad as things look for the tech industry now, the tide may be changing. While global economic growth is projected to slow next year, tech stocks might be the exception, according to Citi analysts. I’m not saying today’s tech stocks that are getting killed are in for a similar extended winter. But growth investors also shouldn’t assume all of these stocks that are down 50-80% are going to be back at new highs in a hurry. It looked like nothing could go wrong for tech stocks until about the end of August 2020.

However, the gains proved precarious in midday trading after Federal Reserve officials called for broad changes to bank rules in the wake of Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse. I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ATAI, SE, TWLO, FTCH either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. Julian Lin runsBest Of Breed Growth Stocks, a research service uncovering high conviction ideas in the winners of tomorrow. This is a name which should generate outsized returns based on growth alone – but I expect multiple expansion to kick in, especially with the company set to generate profitability on a sustainable basis very soon. I am investing across different risk profiles, ranging from lower risk to “moonshot” high risk/high reward names.

Intel says margins will recover in second half of 2023, shares rise

This indicates that tech businesses have at least two years of higher rates before they can expect some relief from the central bank. Costs for many goods and services skyrocketed, with transportation seeing significant volatility due to shifting oil prices. This made things difficult for numerous ecommerce companies that rely on shipping products to their customers’ doors. Crypto, which has seen booms in the past few years, also crashed.

The stock has been hit hard, in part due to the Russia-Ukraine war, supply chain issues in China and rising interest rates. The company expects a return to its typical 30% return rates after dealing with these near-term headwinds. The first category refers to names that are good enough for the Best of Breed portfolio, but for whatever reason are not yet in the portfolio. Twilio has seen its premium evaporate in a matter of months. Obviously, the starting point here was the peak of maybe the biggest stock market bubble we’ve ever seen in U.S. stocks. These are some of the biggest, most successful technology companies ever yet their stock prices have gone through drawdowns that have lasted for decades.

However, tech stocks received the first jitters in September 2020 following positive news about COVID-19 vaccine candidates. In November, Joe Biden’s election win and vaccine news triggered a sector rotation from growth to cyclical names. There was a tectonic shift in consumer behavior and spending in 2020 due to the lockdowns. Tech stocks, especially the so-called “stay-at-home” stocks, were the ultimate beneficiary of the trend. In a market otherwise devoid of growth and investing ideas, tech stocks offered a ray of hope.

  • Yet overall, that pattern holds true for both the broader tech sector and communication services stocks.
  • “The numbers do suggest Intel has gotten about as bad as it will get, so the next quarters depend heavily on corporate tech purchases,” said Glenn O’Donnell, research director at Forrester.
  • “We expect the broader markets to move back near record highs at some point in 2023, but it won’t likely be because of Big Tech,” George Ball told Fortune on Tuesday.
  • According to TQI’s Valuation Model, Apple and Microsoft are still trading at a 25-30% premium to their fair values (and that’s without consideration of an earnings recession in 2023).

Right now, based on Morningstar’s metrics, technology stocks are the cheapest they have been since March 2009, when markets were beginning to recover from the global financial crisis. Towards the end of 2020, once we learned a COVID-19 vaccine was ready for the masses, Wall Street began to warn investors of a new markets dynamic. High-growth tech stocks would fall out of favor with investors, the message went. In its place, overlooked value stocks—think energy and consumer staples—would make a comeback. Top CEOs and investors have struck an optimistic tone on the recent sell-off global technology stocks, telling CNBC it’s unlikely to metastasize into a broader market crisis.

jason hall

As the year progresses and markets start looking at 2022 earnings, some of the tech stocks seem to offer value and we would see a recovery in them. The herd mentality pushed many mega-cap stocks to record highs and hefty valuations. At the end of 2021, the Morningstar tech stock index was carrying a price/earnings ratio north of 29, well above a 10-year average of 20. The communication services index finished the year at more than 21 times earnings, compared with a 10-year average of 18.

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